By Mike Berger
In a reversal of previous projections made just a few years ago, township school administrators are now predicting a slight decline in total school enrollment over the next five years with a projected net loss of 69 kindergarten students. in 12th grade.
In a presentation given at last Thursday’s school committee meeting, Stephen Marshall, director of finance and operations at CPS, reported a total K-12 enrollment of 3,149 students as of October 1, nine less than the same period last year.
Marshall said they originally projected an increase in enrollment for this school year assuming that many students who left CPS for private schools or home schooling options would return as Canton returns to full education. in person.
Using New England School Development Council (NESDEC) projection methodology data along with a 2017 demographics study prepared by McKibben Demographics and Historical Trends, Marshall projected a further loss of 24 students aged now and next October. He concluded in his report that Canton is also likely to see additional small declines over the next four to five years, but noted that school officials plan to work closely with city departments to assess the impacts of new housing developments and property sales.
Overall, Marshall said total enrollment has been generally “steady” over the past decade, with the net increase or decrease never exceeding 100 students in any given year.
Commenting on the report, acting school superintendent Derek Folan said school enrollment as a whole is difficult to project, with many variables changing from year to year, including new residents, housing development and the turnover.
Marshall also presented a demographic profile for the district that included breakdowns based on racial makeup and socioeconomic status.
According to the latest figures available for Canton, white students make up 63.8% of the student population, with African Americans making up 11.3%. Asians are the second largest subgroup at 11.1%, followed by Hispanic students (6.8%) and students from multiple races (6.7%). Less than 1% of Canton students identify as Native American or Hawaiian-Pacific Islander…
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