FORT EDWARD – School enrollment in Fort Edward and South Glens Falls is expected to decline by nearly 9% over the next seven years, according to consultants studying whether the districts should merge.
The combined enrollment of the two districts is expected to increase from 3,286 for the 2020-21 school year to 3,004 for the 2026-27 school year, according to Deb Ayers, consultant Castallo and Silky Educational Consultants.
“No district has reason to believe that registrations will increase significantly. It looks like it’s going to go down, ”she said at the first meeting of the advisory committee that will be contributing to the merger study.
The advisory committee, made up of teachers, administrators, school board members, parents and community members from each district, met for the first time on November 2 to preview the process and discuss the enrollment trends.
Ayers explained that the projections are based on tracking the number of births in the two school districts from 2009 to 2017, analyzing enrollment trends, and then looking into the future.
“This is the most reliable way we have for making registration projections. It’s by no means perfect, but it’s the best we’ve been able to find over time, ”she said.
People also read …
Enrollment in the South Glens Falls Central School District increased from 3,132 in the 2014-2015 school year to 2,869 in the 2019-2020 school year. Ayers said it is expected to drop to 2,651 by the 2026-2027 school year.
During the same period, Fort Edward saw its workforce drop from 537 in 2014-15 to 437 in 2019-20, according to Ayers. It is expected to drop to 353 by 2026-2027.
Washington County’s population is declining slightly, Ayers said. It is expected to drop from 63,216 residents in 2010 to 59,196 in 2040.
“It’s similar to a lot of counties we see in upstate New York. Some of them are seeing a more dramatic drop, ”she said.
However, she said Saratoga County is an anomaly. It has shown a steady increase since 1940 and is expected to continue over the next 30 years. Projections indicate that it will drop from 219,607 in 2020 to 252,521 in 2040.
She said it’s interesting that the South Glens Falls school district hasn’t seen an increase due to this growth.
Consultant Alan Pole said school districts across the state are looking for ways to deliver education differently due to the financial pressures they face, including increased academic standards, uncertain state aid and now the pandemic of COVID-19.
“They know that they cannot continue to do business as they always have because they have more demands with fewer children and no money,” he said.
The committee will meet four times to discuss the following topics: November 23, programs; December 21, facilities and transport; January 11, finances; February 22, endowment. The draft consultant’s report will be reviewed by the committee at its April 12 meeting.
For more information on the merger study, visit the joint website at https://sites.google.com/sgfcsd.org/fesgfmerger/home.
Contact Michael Goot at 518-742-3320 or firstname.lastname@example.org and follow his blog poststar.com/blogs/michael_goot/.
School enrollment trends in Fort Edward-South Glens Falls
Castallo and Silky Educational Consultants analyze whether Fort Edward should be annexed to the central school district of South Glens Falls. Here is some information on enrollment trends.
|School district||Registration 2020-2021||Registration 2026-2027 *|
|South Glens Falls||2,869||2651|